Polling this year has been wildly unpredictable. For example, in recent days three major national polls were released. One had Clinton up eight points, one had her up three points and one had Trump and Clinton tied. Only one of those polls surveyed likely voters and that was poll that found Trump and Clinton tied at 44%.
Of course, the election isn't necessarily a national contest, but a series of state-by-state races that determine the outcome in the Electoral College. So let's see how Trump is doing in some key swing states.
- A new poll finds Trump leading by two points in Florida -- 43% to 41%.
- In North Carolina, Clinton is up just one point -- 48% to 47%. Given the poll's margin of error, Trump could be leading too.
- In Nevada, one recent poll found Clinton leading Trump by only two points -- 44% to 42%. Barack Obama carried the state four years ago by six points.
- In Iowa, another state Obama carried by six points, Trump and Clinton were tied at 40%.
- There was breaking news earlier this month suggesting that Utah could be in play. Well, not so much. The latest poll has Trump up 20 points -- 53% to 33%.
It must be noted that the Clinton campaign has spent tens of millions of dollars on ads. The Trump campaign has only just started to run ads in a handful of states. Hillary should be clobbering Trump! Yet the race is still close.
And Hillary is getting desperate. Today her campaign unveiled a disgusting video that attempts to link Donald Trump to the KKK and smears his supporters as racists. For Democrats to be reaching so low so early suggests to me that they are really worried. It is also a sign of what we can expect to see in the days ahead.
Now is the time to double down. Make sure all your friends and family members are registered to vote.
The Iran Wars Random House (Aug. 23, 2016) |
The Iranians understand propaganda and the power of perception, particularly in the Middle East. Osama bin Laden once said that Muslims like to follow the "strong horse." Not surprisingly, Tehran is trying to prove that it is the strong horse in the Middle East, and so it is constantly trying to humiliate Obama and the United States.
The U.S. Navy suffered a terrible embarrassment earlier this year with the capture and mistreatment of our sailors. Now the Navy is having to endure further humiliation as Iranian boats harass our ships.
Yesterday, four Iranian boats approached the U.S.S. Nitze near the Strait of Hormuz. Various warnings, including radio messages, the ship's whistle and flares were all ignored. The boats came within 300 yards of the Nitze, which changed course "to de-escalate the situation and avoid collision."
A second ship, the U.S.S. Squall, was also harassed by Iranian boats. The Squall was forced to fire warning shots when the Iranian boats came as close as 200 yards.
This isn't a game. The Iranian navy is no match for the U.S. fleet. But there is one tactic that Iran has threatened which does concern our naval commanders. What would we do if a dozen small boats, each one packed with explosives, started racing toward a ship from various directions?
Ship defenses do not easily provide an answer to this challenge. Any answer would require us to start firing long before they were close enough to potentially ram one of our ships.
After seven and a half years, it's apparent this president is clueless. There are deep fears in Washington that the aggressive removal of military officers in recent years and their replacement by political hacks has left the Pentagon woefully unprepared to prevent a disaster from happening.
A Mohammed Problem? Two headlines today on the Drudge Report got my attention:
"Mohammed in Minneapolis Charged in ISIS Plot" and "Mohammed in Mississippi gets 8 years after ISIS recruits."
Interesting. Maybe Obama and Hillary are right -- maybe Islam doesn't have a problem with terrorism. Maybe we have a Mohammed problem.
Here's an idea: Perhaps instead of banning Muslim immigration, we just ban people named Mohammed!
One University Fights Back - It's no secret that the left dominates our university campuses. But I was pleased to read this morning that at least one major university was fighting back against some of the worst elements of political correctness.
Kudos to Dr. John Ellison, Dean of Students at the University of Chicago. He sent a letter to all incoming freshmen telling them to check their "trigger warnings" and to stuff their "safe spaces."
I hope you enjoy these excerpts as much as I did:
"Our commitment to academic freedom means that we do not support so called 'trigger warnings,' we do not cancel invited speakers because their topics might prove controversial, and we do not condone the creation of intellectual 'safe spaces' where individuals can retreat from ideas and perspectives at odds with their own.
"Fostering the free exchange of ideas reinforces a related University priority -- building a campus that welcomes people of all backgrounds."
You can read the entire letter here.
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Gary Bauer is a conservative family values advocate and serves as president of American Values and chairman of the Campaign for Working Families
Tags: Gary Bauer, Campaign for Working Families, Not Over Yet, Iran, Threatens, U.S. Ships, The Iran Wars, Univ. of Chicago, Fights Back, real tolerance To share or post to your site, click on "Post Link". Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service. and "Like" Facebook Page - Thanks!
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