The Nairobi governor contest is shaping into a two-horse race between incumbent Evans Kidero and Senator Mike Sonko, a poll has found.
The TIFA poll showed 44 per cent would vote for Kidero (ODM) and 43 per cent for Sonko of Jubilee Party.
Peter Kenneth (Independent) was rated third at four per cent and was followed by Miguna Miguna, also an independent candidate, at one per cent.
The poll further revealed 39 per cent NASA supporters and three per cent of Jubilee's would allow Kidero a second term in office.
Twenty seven per cent of supporters in the ruling coalition would vote for Sonko, compared to 12 per cent in the National Super Alliance.
Eight per cent of city residents were undecided.
"Of the two leading contestants from various political parties, Sonko attracts a high proportion of NASA supporters as compared to Kidero," TIFA said.
This is a deviation from a poll in March by this firm that found Kenneth had overtaken Sonko.
More on this: Kenneth overtakes Sonko as Nairobians feel 'closer' to Jubilee than NASA - poll
SAKAJA AHEAD OF SIFUNA
If elections were held today, 39 per cent Nairobians would vote for Johnson Sakaja (Jubilee) while 28 per cent would pick Edwin Sifuna {NASA}.
Twenty four per cent Jubilee supporters would vote for Sakaja and two per cent for Sifuna. Among Opposition backers, 12 per cent would choose Sakaja and 25 per cent Sifuna.
Sifuna was followed by Ramesh Gorasia, Suzanne Lenge and Zacharia Momanyi who were rated at once per cent each. Twenty nine per cent of the population was undecided.
PASSARIS WOULD WIN
Majority of Nairobians would vote Esther Passaris (57 per cent) and 25 per cent for incumbent Rachel Shebesh.
Shebesh was followed by radio presenter Maina Kageni , Nadya Khan, Rahab Ndabuki at one per cent each. Fifteen per cent residents have not made up their minds.
Some 42 per cent of NASA supporters would vote Passaris while four per cent would opt for Shebesh.
NASA VERSUS JUBILEE
According to the poll, 97 per cent city residents will vote on the August 8 election day.
"Of these, 57 per cent feel closer to NASA as compared to 34 per cent who feel closer to Jubilee," TIFA said.
NASA support has grown since July 2016 when they had 38 per cent. Jubilee's support, on the other hand, has declined from 38 per cent last year to 34 per cent this year.
Other parties attracted nine per cent support while another nine per cent did not know the coalition they would vote for.
Read: IEBC final figures spell tight race for Jubilee, NASA
The poll noted a significant number of respondents are unlikely to follow the six-peace voting pattern.
"This is an indication that they evaluate candidates on attributes apart from political party affiliation," the poll report reads in part.
The survey was conducted on July 1 and 2 in 17 sub-counties. Data was collected from 829 people through face-to-face interviews.
The poll financed by TIFA had a margin error of +/-3.4% and a 95 per cent confidence level.
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