The latest Rasmussen Reports weekly Trump Change survey finds that 83% of Likely Republican Voters now believe Donald Trump is likely to be their party's presidential nominee, up from 76% a week ago. Perhaps more significantly the latest finding includes 49% who say a Trump nomination is Very Likely, a view held by just 38% of Republicans last week.
Perhaps more significantly the latest finding includes 49% who say a Trump nomination is Very Likely, a view held by just 38% of Republicans last week.
In mid-March, 87% of GOP voters said a Trump nomination was likely, with 59% who considered it Very Likely. Both were the highest weekly findings since Rasmussen Reports began the Trump Change survey last August. But after building for months, expectations of a Trump nomination began falling in the face of candidate gaffes, $70 million in anti-Trump advertising and his loss of the Wisconsin primary. That downward momentum stabilized a bit last week and now seems to have been reversed.
Among all likely voters, 71% see a Trump nomination as likely, with 39% who think it is Very Likely. Last week at this time, those findings stood at 67% and 30% respectively. . . .
Next Tuesday's primaries in Pennsylvania, Connecticut, Maryland, Delaware and Rhode Island all appear much friendlier to Trump than to his two remaining rivals, Texas Senator Ted Cruz and Ohio Governor John Kasich. If Trump keeps winning primaries and adding delegates, it's difficult to imagine the GOP elders denying him the nomination at the party's national convention in July even if he's a few votes short of the 1,237 total needed to claim victory.
Men remain more confident than women that Trump is the likely nominee. Those under 40 aren't as convinced as their elders are. . . . [Read More]
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