The latest Rasmussen Reports weekly Trump Change survey finds that 68% of Likely Republican Voters believe Trump is likely to be their party's nominee next year, up from 53% two weeks ago and the highest finding since late October. This includes 32% who now think Trump is Very Likely to win the GOP race, up from 24% in the previous survey and also the highest finding in over a month. Twenty-seven percent (27%) of GOP voters still say Trump is unlikely to win the nomination, but just seven percent (7%) consider it Not At All Likely. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
Overall belief among Republican voters that the billionaire developer is likely to win the nomination spiked to a high of 74% in late October but had generally run in the mid-50s for most weeks since Rasmussen Reports began the weekly survey in mid-August. His perceived chances rose over 60% in mid-November just after the terrorist attacks in Paris.
Among all likely voters, 56% think Trump is the likely Republican nominee, including 23% who say it's Very Likely.
Rasmussen Reports is a media company specializing in the collection, publication and distribution of public opinion information. For the detailed statistical analysis visit their site.
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